Intelligence
Source-cited mineral expertise.
Daily-scored coverage on every mineral in our 58-mineral catalog, with deep focus on a smaller working set. Briefs are built from primary sources, suitable for contract documentation and audit use. MOS scores below refresh on the daily 03:00 UTC run.
Last observation · 2026-06-03 · 58 minerals scored
Focus minerals
- GaCRITICALMOS rank #1 · score 44.5
Gallium
Export-controlled (Aug 2023, escalated Dec 2024). Used in GaAs/GaN power and RF semiconductors throughout the AI chip and radar supply chains. No drop-in substitute.
AI chipsexport controlledno substituteChina share
80%
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- WMOS rank #3 · score 32.3
Tungsten
Dominant Chinese supply across mining and refining. Used in hardmetal tooling, kinetic-energy penetrators, electrical contacts, and semiconductor manufacturing.
hardmetaldefenseprocessing chokepointChina share
80%
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- SbCRITICALMOS rank #32 · score 17.8
Antimony
Export-controlled to the US (Sep 2024). Used in ammunition primers, armor, flame retardants, and semiconductor doping. Thin non-China supply outside Tajikistan and Turkey.
ammunitionarmorexport controlledChina share
55%
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- GeCRITICALMOS rank #2 · score 41.6
Germanium
Export-controlled (Aug 2023, escalated Dec 2024). Used in fiber optics, IR optics, night vision, and III-V semiconductor substrates. Produced as a zinc-smelting byproduct — capacity expansion is slow.
fiber opticsIRexport controlledChina share
60%
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- NdMOS rank #4 · score 30.7
Neodymium
Permanent-magnet material for defense systems, EV traction motors, and wind turbines. Western magnet capacity is years behind oxide supply.
rare earthmagnetsdefenseChina share
70%
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- DyCRITICALMOS rank #11 · score 21.0
Dysprosium
Heavy rare earth required for high-temperature NdFeB magnets used in EV traction motors, defense actuators, and missile guidance. No drop-in substitute; export controls tightened Apr 2025.
heavy rare earthmagnetsexport controlledChina share
90%
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All scored minerals
Every mineral below has a live brief at /intel/[slug] with daily MOS score, supply concentration, and producer summary. Deep producer-graph and price-series data is being filled in progressively — see the focus cards above for current depth.
| Rank | Mineral | Category | China share | MOS | → |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Graphite C | Battery metal | 66% | 27.4 | → |
| 6 | Lithium Li | Battery metal | 15% | 25.4 | → |
| 7 | Aluminum Al | Base metal | 57% | 23.5 | → |
| 8 | Manganese Mn | Battery metal | 7% | 22.4 | → |
| 9 | Yttrium Y | Heavy rare earth | 90% | 21.0 | → |
| 10 | Uranium U | Nuclear | 3% | 21.0 | → |
| 12 | Terbium Tb | Heavy rare earth | 90% | 21.0 | → |
| 13 | Lanthanum La | Light rare earth | 70% | 20.4 | → |
| 14 | Tin Sn | Base metal | 31% | 20.1 | → |
| 15 | Erbium Er | Heavy rare earth | 90% | 19.6 | → |
| 16 | Holmium Ho | Heavy rare earth | 90% | 19.6 | → |
| 17 | Thulium Tm | Heavy rare earth | 90% | 19.6 | → |
| 18 | Ytterbium Yb | Heavy rare earth | 90% | 19.6 | → |
| 19 | Lutetium Lu | Heavy rare earth | 90% | 19.6 | → |
| 20 | Praseodymium Pr | Light rare earth | 70% | 19.3 | → |
| 21 | Magnesium Mg | Base metal | 70% | 19.2 | → |
| 22 | Bismuth Bi | Specialty | 75% | 19.2 | → |
| 23 | Cobalt Co | Battery metal | 2% | 19.1 | → |
| 24 | Samarium Sm | Light rare earth | 70% | 19.1 | → |
| 25 | Europium Eu | Light rare earth | 70% | 19.1 | → |
| 26 | Scandium Sc | Heavy rare earth | 60% | 19.0 | → |
| 27 | Copper Cu | Base metal | 8% | 18.2 | → |
| 28 | Silicon Si | Semiconductor | 70% | 18.1 | → |
| 29 | Tellurium Te | Semiconductor | 55% | 17.9 | → |
| 30 | Fluorspar | Industrial | 55% | 17.9 | → |
| 31 | Indium In | Semiconductor | 56% | 17.9 | → |
| 33 | Arsenic As | Semiconductor | 47% | 17.6 | → |
| 34 | Vanadium V | Specialty | 55% | 17.6 | → |
| 35 | Metallurgical Coal | Industrial | 52% | 17.0 | → |
| 36 | Titanium Ti | Industrial | 45% | 16.9 | → |
| 37 | Platinum Pt | Platinum group | 0% | 16.4 | → |
| 38 | Barite Ba | Industrial | 30% | 16.1 | → |
| 39 | Beryllium Be | Specialty | 15% | 16.1 | → |
| 40 | Phosphate Rock P | Fertilizer | 40% | 16.0 | → |
| 41 | Rhodium Rh | Platinum group | 0% | 15.5 | → |
| 42 | Potash K | Fertilizer | 12% | 15.2 | → |
| 43 | Iridium Ir | Platinum group | 0% | 15.2 | → |
| 44 | Ruthenium Ru | Platinum group | 0% | 15.2 | → |
| 45 | Boron B | Industrial | 3% | 15.2 | → |
| 46 | Lead Pb | Base metal | 44% | 14.9 | → |
| 47 | Hafnium Hf | Nuclear | 5% | 14.9 | → |
| 48 | Helium He | Specialty | 0% | 14.6 | → |
| 49 | Zirconium Zr | Nuclear | 9% | 14.5 | → |
| 50 | Feldspar | Industrial | 10% | 14.5 | → |
| 51 | Rhenium Re | Refractory | 5% | 14.5 | → |
| 52 | Zinc Zn | Base metal | 33% | 14.4 | → |
| 53 | Rubidium Rb | Specialty | 10% | 14.4 | → |
| 54 | Niobium Nb | Specialty | 0% | 14.1 | → |
| 55 | Tantalum Ta | Specialty | 3% | 13.7 | → |
| 56 | Nickel Ni | Base metal | 4% | 13.2 | → |
| 57 | Palladium Pd | Platinum group | 0% | 13.0 | → |
| 58 | Silver Ag | Precious | 13% | 12.1 | → |